Dynamic Frailty and Change Point Models for Recurrent Events Data
Authors
Abstract:
Abstract. We present a Bayesian analysis for recurrent events data using a nonhomogeneous mixed Poisson point process with a dynamic subject-specific frailty function and a dynamic baseline intensity func- tion. The dynamic subject-specific frailty employs a dynamic piecewise constant function with a known pre-specified grid and the baseline in- tensity uses an unknown grid for the piecewise constant function. Imple- mentation of Bayesian inference using a reversible jump Markov Chain Monte Carlo (RJMCMC) algorithm is developed to handle the change of the dimension in the parameter space for models with a random num- ber of change points. A data set provided by Grubbs et al. (1991) with recurrent times to mammary tumors for 59 rats is used to illustrate the application of the new models. We compare several models including constant or piecewise constant subject-specific frailty and a fixed num- ber or a random number for the change points in the baseline using the pseudo-marginal likelihood criterion. We show that models with a ran- dom number of change points in the baseline improve upon that of a fixed number.
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هدف اصلی از این تحقیق به دست آوردن و مقایسه حق بیمه باورمندی در مدل های شمارشی گزارش نشده برای داده های طولی می باشد. در این تحقیق حق بیمه های پبش گویی بر اساس توابع ضرر مربع خطا و نمایی محاسبه شده و با هم مقایسه می شود. تمایل به گرفتن پاداش و جایزه یکی از دلایل مهم برای گزارش ندادن تصادفات می باشد و افراد برای استفاده از تخفیف اغلب از گزارش تصادفات با هزینه پائین خودداری می کنند، در این تحقیق ...
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Journal title
volume 12 issue None
pages 127- 151
publication date 2013-03
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